Another year has come and gone, and with it, a slew of failed and forgotten psychic predictions.  Each year, the world’s “leading” psychics give us their predictions in January, and then we review them one year later to see how accurate they were.

Before reviewing their track record for 2013, let’s consider a handful of significant news items that were not predicted.

What the world’s leading psychics didn’t predict for 2013:

  • The surprising resignation of Pope Benedict XVI…
  • The revelation of PRISM and the NSA spying scandal revealed by Ed Snowden, which is still arguably one of the biggest news stories of the year…
  • The meteor which exploded over the Russian city of Chelyabinsk, injuring 1,491 people and damaging over 4,300 buildings.  It was the most powerful meteor to strike Earth’s atmosphere in over a century…
  • The Boston Marathon bombings…
  • Typhoon Haiyan “Yolanda”, one of the strongest tropical cyclones on record, which hit the Philippines and Vietnam, causing devastation with at least 5,653 dead…
  • Iran agreeing to limit their nuclear development program in exchange for sanctions relief…
  • William and Kate’s royal baby – a boy, named Prince George… (more details below)…
  • The Bronx train derailment…
  • The Rob Ford crack cocaine scandal, which was on just about every North American TV network…
  • The recovery of Amanda Berry, who was a 16-year-old girl when she went missing in 2003, and was rescued from an unassuming house in Cleveland.  She was held captive for a decade.  High-profile psychic (Sylvia Browne) told Berry’s mother in 2004 that she was dead.
  • Speaking of Sylvia Browne, she incorrectly predicted her own death.  She thought she’d make it to 88, but died at 77.
  • A number of high profile deaths:  Ed Koch, Hugo Chavez, Margaret Thatcher, Roger Ebert, Tom Clancy, Lou Reed,  James Gandolfini, Cory Monteith, Jean Stapleton, Lisa Robin Kelly, Paul Walker, Nelson Mandela…

And that’s just a sample of the things psychics forgot to predict.  Now let’s look at how well they fared for the things they did… *

Psychic Fail


What the world’s leading psychics predicted for 2013:


lamont hamilton picLAMONT HAMILTON

LaMont “Monte” Hamilton is an ordained minister, Reiki Master healing practitioner, registered hypnotherapist, and holds multiple degrees in business, psychology, and education, and has worked in the paranormal field full time for over 25 years.

Prince William and Kate will have a baby girl, whom many will believe is the reincarnation of Princess Diana. (They had a boy, and his name is George.)

At least 2 cosmic events will create news this year related to asteroids/comets headed to Earth, with the first one occurring around April when an object heads toward Earth.  (Oh, so close.  If only he wasn’t so specific!  You see, the first one you could call a hit was the Chelyabinsk meteor and it occurred in February, not April.  The second?  Not sure if anything else could warrant the same level of media/press.)

Three airlines will merge into one Umbrella Company after another major carrier goes bankrupt in the U.S.  (Not quite, but if we’re looking really hard for a hit, the merger between US Airways and American Airlines might almost qualify…  but, a little bit of Googling reveals that this deal was no secret, even as far back as Sept 2012, when rumors began to bubble up through the media.)

A global U.N. tax will be enacted this year to help fund disaster relief and poverty.  (As far as I could find, this wasn’t implemented, but was suggested several years ago, so it’s it seems Lamont was hoping it would come to fruition in 2013.  But, no.)

A truce is seen in the Middle East before late summer after one or more spiritual leaders emerge in the region to bring stability to several countries now in conflict.  (Considering there is always conflict in the Middle East, a truce is a fairly safe prediction.  During the ongoing crisis in Syria, there was indeed a truce.  But again, this is a pretty safe prediction.)


vicki monroe psychicVICKI MONROE

This Maine-based psychic correctly predicted President Barack Obama winning a second term, the Red Sox missing the World Series, and the world not tanking on Dec. 21. (which was the easiest prediction ever made)

No New England Patriots in the Super Bowl and no Boston Red Sox in the World Series.  (The Patriots were not in the Super Bowl… but wouldn’t it be much more useful to predict who would BE in the Super Bowl?    She tried that same easy prediction for baseball but it backfired – the Boston Red Sox were not only in the world series, but they won it).

Expect an upset at the Academy Awards: Bradley Cooper for best actor over Daniel Day Lewis. Sally Field for best actress. Lincoln for best picture and Quentin Tarantino for best director.  (No upset here – Daniel Day Lewis won for Best Actor.  Sally Field lost to Jennifer Lawrence…   Argo won Best Picture…  Ang Lee won Best Director…  0/4 on the Oscar predictions.)



psychic nikkiPSYCHIC NIKKI

In 2012, Nikki — “Psychic to the Stars” — predicted a pregnancy for Kate and Prince William, the split between Katie Holmes and Tom Cruise and the split of Katy Perry and Russell Brand, Meryl Streep’s Academy Award, the death of Whitney Houston (not true), Hurricane Sandy (also not true, no one did), and the passing of Dick Clark, Ernest Borgnine and Phyllis Diller. Here’s what she sees for 2013:

A fire and explosion at a subway in New York City kills many.  (There was a fire, but no explosion, and no one was hurt.  It was just really annoying for commuters.)

A chemical attack on the United States.  (Thanksfully, this did not happen.)

Another cruise ship breaks in half. (Nice try here, but nope, didn’t happen.)

Another Super Storm like Sandy hitting the USA, Canada and Europe.  (Did not happen.  It would have been one helluva storm to hit both North America and Europe!)

Nuclear attack on New York.  (Also, thankfully, this didn’t happen.)

A huge earthquake in the Caribbean.  (Swing and a miss.)

Cuba and Puerto Rico becoming part of the USA.  (Anyone know of another way of saying “didn’t happen”?)

A weather satellite will come crashing into a building.  (A satellite did come down to Earth, but we’re not quite sure where it landed.  Certainly not into a building.)

A huge earthquake in St. Louis, Missouri, Chicago and Tennessee.  (No.)

The map of the world will change due to catastrophic events happening around the globe.  (The map of the world looks the same.)

Experimental monkeys escape from a lab causing a pandemic.  (Rise of the Planet of the Apes, perhaps?  Oh wait, that movie came out in 2011.)

Giant prehistoric sea monsters under the sea.  (Now, I wish this one panned out.  The Kraken, Godzilla, or maybe C’thulu would have been pretty neat.  Alas, no sea monsters in 2013.  But the Godzilla reboot is due out in 2014 – does that count?)

A possible landing of a spaceship.  (Made by humans or ET?  Landing on Earth, or elsewhere?)

An attack on the Vatican and Pope.  (Didn’t happen.)

Daniel Day Lewis nominated for an Oscar for Lincoln.  (This was pretty obvious, so this doesn’t count as a hit.)

Jack Nicholson hospitalized.  (He wasn’t, however the actor who played the doctor in One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest died…)

Another sex scandal around Arnold Schwarzenegger and has to watch his health.  (Just part of the ongoing scandal, but nothing that would qualify as another (separate) sex scandal.)

An earthquake of great magnitude wiping out Mexico City.  (Did not…)

Giant tornadoes in Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma, California, Missouri, and Tennessee.  (Like any year, many tornadoes – some “giant” – hit Tornado Alley.  2013 would be no different, so this is a non-prediction.)

An assassination attempt around Queen Elizabeth.  (Unless if this was covered up, this didn’t happen.)


sidney friedman psychicSIDNEY FRIEDMAN

Sidney “SidneySeer” Friedman claims a documented predictions accuracy of 71%, and a near 100% success rate with his Oscar predictions, missing only twice. His predictions have been covered by all the major television networks as well as hundreds of radio programs.

In a quasi shake-up, Jimmy Fallon is named host of NBC-TV’s Tonight Show, replacing Jay Leno.  (This is true, Fallon will take over after the 2014 Olympics).

Apple announces and releases a “mini iPhone” geared toward children and also under-served populations around the world. Apple finally launches a “smart TV.”  (Apple released the 5C which is not geared towards children – but is cheaper.  They did not release the “smart TV”.)

A plague-like pandemic affects populations in Europe and to some extent in the USA. Much of it ironically occurs in hospitals. (There was no known pandemic in Europe or the USA, especially where one ironically occurred in hospitals.)


judy hevenly psychicJUDY HEVENLY

Judy Hevenly is a teacher, astrologer, and writer, whose forecasts have appeared in many publications and newspapers worldwide. Her clientele includes royalty, former presidents, Hollywood movie stars, and heads of state. Judy was also called in to work at the O.J. Simpson trial. She is featured in the book, The 100 Top Psychics in America.

Tim Tebow gets offer to play in Canadian Football League. (Though it was actually discussed on sports networks, Tebow was not offered to play in the CFL.)

Meditation proves to be the gateway to contact loved ones on the other side.  (This is shockingly true!  Nah, it’s not.)

Malala Yousafzai, the Pakistani activist shot by members of the Taliban for arguing for equal education for girls in Pakistan, receives the 2013 Nobel Peace Prize for standing up for girls’ education in her country. (Actually, the Nobel Peace Prize 2013 was awarded to Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons “for its extensive efforts to eliminate chemical weapons”).

Major wildfires in Canada.  (Wildfires are common during the dry season, but why not predict the rare flood that devastated Alberta in 2013?)

Earthquakes felt in California, New Zealand and Japan at magnitudes 5.7 to 6.2.  (More moderately sized earthquakes in the Pacific Ring of Fire?  It can’t be!  She may as well have predicted that there will be rain in the Amazonian rainforest.)


blair robertson psychicBLAIR ROBERTSON

His past predictions include the Japanese 8.9 earthquake and tsunami, Whitney Houston ‘s death, sinking of the Costa Concordia, the train fire in India, William and Kate’s pregnancy, accurately predicting the Oscars, and more. The Washington Times called him their “favorite prognosticator.”

A boxer will be killed in the ring (or die shortly thereafter) within the year.  (Which boxer?  Boxers die all the time.  Be specific.)

Rihanna and Chris Brown will get engaged.  (So I guess they did get engaged but may or may not be together or something.  It doesn’t matter and nobody should be concerned.  Sorry to be dismissive, but it’s tough doing research through tabloid clutter.)

Watch for news of a propane tank explosion on the east coast of the US that destroys a “complex.”  (There were two notable propane manufacturer explosions, one in Florida (east coast) and one in Texas (not east coast) – neither destroyed the complex.  There was, however, a fertilizer plant that had a massive explosion in which did destroy a complex.

Fewer tornadoes for the USA, but those that do hit will be much more devastating in their power. A possible large one for western Ontario in late April.  (Seems to be a conflict with Psychic Nikki, but anyways… there were many tornadoes, so what exactly does “fewer” mean?  10% less?  50% less than average?  There was, in fact, a tornado in Ontario on April 18th.  But to be fair, the 18th is hardly “late” April.)

A breast cancer breakthrough.  (There’s always advances in cancer research.  Perhaps Blair is referring to Anjelina Jolie’s revelation?)

There will be an unusual amount of people reporting that their diabetes has disappeared.  I don’t know if this is a “breakthrough,” but it will puzzle the medical profession.  (No reliable evidence could be found for this – it seems anecdotal.  In fact, the number of people with diabetes is rising.  “I know of no other disease that’s increasing at (about) 8% per year,” said Dr. John Anderson, president of medicine and science for the American Diabetes Association. “That to me isn’t surprising, it’s troubling.”)

2013 will see the passing of a number of former world heads of state as well as their spouses.  (There are 196 countries in the world, each with a head of state and about as many with spouses.  So that’s roughly 392 people.  Isn’t it safe to assume that a few will pass away during any given year?)

Watch for news of mine disaster in China within 3 months. Many deaths.   (There was a mining disaster in China with many deaths… however, a little research shows that there are several mining disasters almost every year.  2013 had 4;  2012 had 2;  2010 had 5;  2009 had 10.  It was a pretty safe bet that 2013 would have at least one.)

Worldwide, we will see more mysterious mass bird deaths and tens of thousands of fish washing up on shore throughout the year. Conspiracy theories will abound.  (Difficult to find reliable evidence for this either way, but the media loves mass animal deaths and so it’s no surprise that they are reported at every opportunity.  It’s also no surprise that conspiracy theorist try to “explain” each of them in the ways that they do.)


craig and jane hamilton parker psychicsCRAIG AND JANE HAMILTON- PARKER

This U.K. based psychic couple “scored many hits” with their 2012 predictions. Here’s what they forecast for 2013:

In the early part of 2013 – possibly January of February – there will be war in the Middle East. Israel with strike Iran with a full on attack at its nuclear program but fail to destroy some of the more heavily entrenched facilities leaving quantities of uranium available for dirty bombs. The Israeli/Iranian conflict will escalate and conflicts will spill over to Syria.  (The prediction was way off, especially since the Iran nuclear deal was reached in GenevaThe conflict between Iran and Israel remains, however it doesn’t appear to have spilled into Syria.)

2013 is going to be another tough years with continued financial troubles and escalating world conflicts but despite many world problems 2013 will be the start of a growing spirituality throughout the world.  (This prediction is vague and worthless.  There’s always going to be world conflicts and financial instability in some part of the world.  As for growing spirituality… what does that even mean?  Nothing.)


amazing kreskin psychicTHE AMAZING KRESKIN

The Amazing Kreskin has, for some six decades, dramatized the unique facets of the human mind…his own. His very name has become an integral part of pop culture throughout the world, invoked in comedy clubs, comic strips, print stories, and TV shows from sitcoms on through national magazines.

The biggest movie stars will come cheap because Hollywood is in big trouble. Much movie making will move to India.  (It doesn’t take a psychic to see the rise of Bollywood, but to there’s no real indication that Hollywood is moving its productions to India – unlike Hollywood North, where it was cheaper to film in cities like Toronto, Canada.)

The return of the gossip columnist — from people on the street.  (What does this even mean?  Bloggers?  The rise of the independent freelancer?)

College students will find it harder and harder to find jobs. (This has always been an issue, and is so vague, it’s not worth addressing much more than this.)

Families will rediscover the family dinner table. (How do you measure this?  If anything people are noting that the opposite is happening, with ubiquity of smart phones.  This is a worthless prediction.)


It seems like you don’t like psychics.  What gives?

The Psychic “industry” is worth about 2 billion dollars, growing 2% per year, with almost 80,000 businesses in the field (almost equal to the number of employees, so probably safe to assume that many are individual psychics).  That’s a whole lot of people who are claiming to know about a whole lot of things.

And yet, psychics don’t have any real advantage over everyone else in society (other than being pretty good at cold reading).  You don’t see psychics ruling the world, winning the lottery, solving impossible crimes… They don’t provide any real value to those who seek them, and more often than not, their agenda is financial.

Some legitimately believe in their powers – perhaps blinded by faith and hope.  Others willfully lie, cheat, take advantage, and provide false hope to their victims – who are often those who need the most help.

Why aren't psychics constantly winning the lottery?
Why aren’t psychics constantly winning the lottery?


Additional Sources and Notes:

* Disclosure:  For the sake of brevity and keeping the article relatively interesting, some predictions were omitted.  In addition, predictions that were very specific to a country outside of North America where it was difficult to verify whether it was true or false, were also omitted.  Since their result – positive or negative – could not be confirmed, it didn’t make sense to include them in the article.  For those wishing to see the complete list predictions, you can review the sources below.

  • Bill Perron

    Bill Perron accurately predicted James Randi would commit fraud when Randi lied to weasel out of the Perron challenge for the disingenuous publicity stunt million dollars.

    • Isaac Carmichael

      Can’t tell if trolling or just stupid.

      • Carlos Caliente

        Isaac Carmichael seems to have comprehension problems, he can’t tell what is trolling or stupid, so I will explain the difference for the poor intelligence challenged lad. Stupid is anybody who can’t see Randi is a fraud, trolling is what Isaac does when he can’t get laid.

      • Ritchie Annand

        A little bit of both, Isaac. Perron proposed to test his astrological abilities under conditions that are completely open to the Forer effect (a.k.a. the personal validation fallacy)


        Instead of retooling the proposal to be a proper blinded test or letting skeptics do it for him, he has instead decided to pursue Randi to the ends of the earth as being a liar over the accusation that Perron didn’t want photos taken. This is taken as somehow the way that Randi is “weaseling” his way out of giving Perron a million dollars. (Not any of that piddling this-wouldn’t-prove-astrology-a-tiny-bit-protocol. Oh, no.) If you want evidence of this, Perron will FAX YOU.

        Also, this was back in -2006-. You’re allowed to reapply after a year. He could have done that and cleared up the photo-taking issue. But I guess it’s much more fun and grandiose to pretend there’s a conspiracy against you (after all, if they make fun of you, they won’t take actual evidence in front of their faces, right?) and to go on the offensive than to realize that you can’t scientifically prove astrology by violating the crap out of scientific protocols.

        • Bill Perron

          Ritchie Annand it never ceases to amaze me how some folks will spout off like they are experts on subjects they obviously know nothing about. I will not even speculate on why you do it but I will tell you the truth so next time you can at least get your facts straight. Randi rejected my challenge saying it was because I wanted no photos taken which was a blatant lie, I insisted we video the whole testing procedure because I knew I could win and told Randi I wanted the video in case I had to take him to court to collect. That is the truth. Randi couldn’t come up with a better reason than a cowardly lie. Perhaps it makes no difference to you that Randi has a history of lying. He denied for years that he was a homosexual pedophile yet he brought a 16 year old Venezuelan boy into this country to be his lover and they also intentionally committed fraud using some other persons identification for over 20 years to keep him here illegally. Read the report in the Florida Sun Sentinel. And yes I will be glad to take any test any time after Randi admits he lied and apologizes to me and all others he has wronged. Perhaps honesty and integrity are not important to you but they are to some folks. There are those who have an agenda and that is their guiding light, which I suspect may be the case with you, as I have found is the case with most pseudo skeptics.

          • Ohrwurm

            Astrology couldn’t even predict the discovery of Uranus in the 1780s. Yeah, I mean Uranus the planet.

            Honestly, it doesn’t makes sense: if you’re trying to predict earthly incidents based on the positions of other planets, how comes astrologers couldn’t even realize they were missing almost half of the planets from the Solar System?

            Astrologers, what a joke.

          • Ritchie Annand

            Bill: I’m going to speak plainly. Unless you modified your experimental claim *significantly* to include proper blinds, your “experiment” as written down would also be expected to have a high ‘hit’ rate -if astrology were not true-.
            That is why you have to modify your experiment – because it does not distinguish the case where astrology is true versus where astrology is false.
            That’s a prerequisite to *anything* else.

            • Richie Annand, you are not speaking plainly at all, in fact you totally ignore the issue of Randi lying to weasel out of my challenge. Ignoring issues is not plain speaking, it is an amateurish transparent attempt to avoid the issue of the duplicitous actions of a cowardly liar. Shame on you for trying such a juvenile tactic. Randi had publicly accepted my challenge then lied to weasel out, do you actually find the truth so distasteful that you will go on record to defend a lie?

              • Ritchie Annand

                I -am- speaking plainly, and it is plain as the nose on your face that you have been deflecting criticism of your poor experimental proposal for at least seven years now.
                You could have applied for the Daniel Zepeda challenge, if you’re uninterested in proving out astrology without the possibility of getting paid, or you could have improved your understanding of what sort of burden of proof is required to validate astrology in the meantime.
                Instead, what have you done?

  • Susan McMichael

    Economists aren’t particularly accurate either…

  • vince

    try to debunk this. I’m guessing he just spewed out a lot of predictions and one got lucky

  • Barry Lynn

    Kreskin doesn’t claim to have psychic powers: he does various tricks including predicting Presidential outcomes (putting the name of the winner in a bowl in some public place) but he is not in the psychic business like these other charlatans.

    • JW Peytona


  • Amy

    I predict Sylvia Browne will….Oh, never mind.

  • Petra

    Mind you, 2013 isn´t over yet… 😉

  • Bill Perron

    I predict there will still be wannabe pseudo skeptics that will never even consider James Randi is a liar. They will make excuses for the old liar, they will call names and insults to anyone who criticizes Randi, they will refuse to look at any evidence that proves Randi is a liar. They will believe themselves smugly superior to those who have actually studied subjects such as palmistry, astrology, hand writing analysis, etc. and they will do this because they are afraid to actually look objectively or listen objectively to anything that runs afoul of their fearful agenda.

  • Ritchie Annand

    Turns out one of the more interesting ways to determine whether there is something to a pseudoscientific discipline is to compare ‘expert’ versus ‘amateur’ approaches. That was the big finding in a few ‘sham’-versus-expert acupuncture studies, including a follow-up one that found communication style had an effect but expertise in ‘meridians’ did not.

    Mind you, it doesn’t separate it from the placebo effect (which is interesting in and of itself, because it does appear to have immune system implications, both positive and negative – autoimmune issues *rise* in placebo effects), which is hard to do when double-blinding is not possible, but it does mean that a lot of the ‘theory’ behind the practice is simply not valid.

    I used to be a big fan of graphology until it turned out that experts succeed and fail at the same rate amateurs do. Does this mean there’s nothing to graphology? Well, it means that the Freud-derived superego-ego-id upper-middle-lower basis for graphology is likely bogus. That said, if you wanted to redefine graphology as a social scientific discipline, you really could do that – dig out the standard social science personality assessments, some well-defined buckets and see if there are any strong correlations. If there aren’t any, that’s an important result, too.

    • Bill Perron Richie Annand is fond of posting suppositions and drawing conclusions that fit his personal agenda, but there is a real danger in that as Michael Shermer finds out in this video where a Vedic astrologer debunks Shermer, and Shermer has to give the astrologer a 73% accuracy rating. Anyone who makes statements and draws conclusions based on research of others without benefit of actually having personal knowledge of subject matter is in danger of looking as foolish as Shermer. Sort of what poor little Richie does when he comments on handwriting analysis and the Randi lies and my reasons to get Randi to tell the truth. WARNING: Only watch video if you are prepared to eat crow.

      • Ritchie Annand

        I thought there might have been something interesting to that video. Instead, that shows Vedic astrology as being part Forer effect and part “medium” tricks of the trade:

        * Safe generalities: “Before 40 they’ll be more on the slender side and after 40 they’ll tend to put on a little weight.”
        * Safe generality plus hopeful super potential bonus: “Their speech is at times strong, they could even be a speaker.”
        * Choice of generality based on birthplace: “This is definitely a person who’s been a lot of places and done a lot of things” (to someone from the Near East)
        * Choice of generality based on age (plus, in this case, bonus expansion of the target set): “This person would probably have more than one marriage, I would think at least two (that’s more likely with age) or it will be difficult for them to find a partner at first (because that’s easy for most people?), so there could be a delay” (note: this could even be considered a hit for *widows*)

        In person was even worse, with the usual extra tactics you see in mediums, like:

        * Fishing, fishing, fishing: “About 2 years ago you started going through a more turbulent period – you changed jobs, you made a decision, you got out of a relationship, something happened, mother or father died (keep on going until he gets a hit??) something happened within your life, say, in the last three years (so ‘about 2 years ago’ turns into ‘within the last three years’).”

        * Pretending to knowledge you were just given: “You’re the kind of person, if you love someone, you love them totally. It’s not a halfway thing.” (said AFTER she revealed she quit her job to be with her cancer-suffering father)

        * Choice of generality based on LOOKING AT THE PERSON: “Capricorn rising… if you don’t trim your eyebrows, they tend to get a bit bushy.”

        That in particular made me laugh, because of the story we were regaled with about how amazing this medium was, with a quote from her father beyond, “You’re an afa’ lass for your hair”, and “how could he have known that?”, to which we had to look at each other with a knowing glance and a shrug “maybe… they -looked at her-?”

        The two ‘blinds’ weren’t even age-controlled.


        If you’re allowed to have generalities like that, you can’t actually take a “percent accuracy” and presume it’s due to anything paranormal. You control for age, gender and birthplace (which will also reduce the “pick and choose which line items we go with to increase the perceived hit rate” temptation) with a big sample size and note that the effect will not be in the “accuracy” but in -anomalies in the differences- and then we’ll start talking. Perhaps they’ll do better than the Pune University study.

        • Bill Perron

          Two months before 9/11 Robert Hand in the Mountain Astrologer magazine predicted the U.S. would be involved in war in the Middle East and we would be at war for at least 13 years. Of course that prediction is subject to the Forer effect since we all know crazy muslims are very analytical critical thinkers. In Cosmos and Psyche by Tarnas 30 years of astrological research tracing major events back in time to Alexander comparing the astrological correlation of events to the actual events verified the astrological correlations over many centuries. Of course history and the universe are all subject to the Forer effect, at least according to little Ritchie who will tell you Jesus Christ, landing on the moon, Civil War, along with WW1 and WW2, and the journeys of both Columbus and Marco Polo, discovery of penicillin, radio waves, flight, all subject to the Forer effect. I bet if he ever impregnated a female he would deny any culpability and blame it on the Forer effect. The Forer effect, the last refuge of denial for the pseudo skeptic.

          • Ritchie Annand

            Of course *predictions* are not subject to the Forer effect, but you *did* just post a video purporting to show how amazing astrology was with a reading style not actually events-prediction-related and completely subject to the effect. Congratulations, astrology discovered a subset of psychology and statistics and pretended it was a superpower.
            Now, as for *predictions*… I wonder what could explain *predictions*. Hmmm, it couldn’t be, say, the fact that there are n astronomers making p predictions each, giving us a sum(i=1..n of p[i]) predictions combined with aforementioned generalities and our willingness to fill in the gaps, could it? That works even if you limit it to single, prolific prognosticators, like Nostradamus, or ancient texts.Choosing your predictions after the fact is similar to one of the worst problems we have in medical research right now. Texas sharpshooter, first class.
            One of the biggest parts of the equation you’re missing here in your attempt to claim “scientific support” is elimination of alternate explanations. It still sounds like you think “percent accuracy” and individual “predictions” do that, but they don’t; we already know that generalities increase a hit count for both predictions and readings, so you *have to control for that as a source of “hits”* because the likelihood of the statement being true is *already high*. If you want to find out how likely a statement is to be true – or *perceived to be true – independent of an astrology reading, you can actually *do* that, as you could for all the other variables.
            Well, you could… but you really, really don’t want to.
            “The Forer effect, the last refuge of denial for the pseudo skeptic.” I guess weapons-grade projection is one way to live *grin*
            It’s been an interesting exchange so far 😉

            • Glad you find it interesting, personally I find it boring, after debating predictable folks like yourself who like to flatter themselves about their convictions about subjects they personally have never studied it becomes rather rote because none of you ever have anything original to say. As for your comments about predictions and the video I am honest enough to concede you do have a point, but that still does not invalidate the astrologer was correct, only that there is room for other means of deduction. I notice you avoided any comment on the research by Tarnas who spent 30 years trying to debunk astrology even going back to the time of Alexander forward checking major events such as major battles between world powers and finding that there is a correlation between astrological analysis and correlation of events is irrefutable. Read the tome for yourself, if you dare, 547 pages of verifiable research, it is fascinating. And you still run from the fact Randi lied to weasel out of my challenge. Please ask yourself why did he have to lie to weasel out? Better yet ask Randi why he lied, bet you won’t because for some reason pseudo skeptics are afraid to even question his ethics. Yet he has a history of lies, certainly a knowledgeable chap such as yourself has read sTARBABY by Rawlins, documenting the fraud perpetrated by Randi and C.S.I.C.O.P Randi lied about his pedophilia, he committed fraud on several occasions, read about it in the Florida Sun Sentinel.

              • Ritchie Annand

                Tarnas has a way of turning a paragraph into six pages, is somewhat smitten with the outer planets, three of which were not discovered until recently, and is on record as saying that astrological predictions are “archetypally true, not literally true”. I’d have to work up the energy before wading through his tome 🙂
                I could see the sTARBABY crap happening; I really could. Sad, too, because Gauquelin seems to have been the source of the ‘Mars effect’ in the first place through selective discards (cf. Nienhuys); it just didn’t occur to anyone at the time.
                Still, you’re claiming for more sympathy than you deserve, since photos or no, video or no, your application for the challenge recommended a protocol that is insufficient to demonstrate a paranormal claim.
                As you noted, I had a point but it “does not invalidate the astrologer was correct”. Of course. At issue was in fact the ‘reading’ techniques employed to ensure a reasonably high level of ‘correctness’ in the first place.
                If you changed the protocol to control for age (at least inasmuch as a Vedic astrologer would change their predictions based on age), gender and birth place but to have the birth day and time be the independent variable in the study, *that* might be sufficient to establish an effect from astrology. The ‘hit rate’ would not be the dependent variable, but rather the ‘hit rate’ of the experimental group that had the prediction for their actual birth day and time, and the ‘hit rate’ of a control group that had the prediction for a random birth day and time in their age bracket, and nobody could know until after the conclusion of the experiment which group they belonged to. (I don’t know the specifics on whether you tell people that there IS a control group or not)
                Propose that, have Randi refuse it, and then you’ll gain sympathy from outside your usual circles.

                • Now you’ve pissed me off !! How dare you even suggest I want sympathy !! I want justice, I want a public apology from a liar. A liar who publicly intentionally defamed me. I could care less about you or your sympathies, Randi had already accepted my challenge, if it was a protocol issue he would have said so, no it was a weasel out by lies!!! How come you know so much about theories but nothing about common observable sense? Again he weaseled out only after I insisted we video tape testing and he lied saying “Perron wants no photos taken so we are rejecting his challenge.” You are so caught up in your blind zombified agenda that you have no ability to question anything that contradicts your preconceived beliefs. Shame on you. In your world character obviously doesn’t count for much, neither does integrity, honor, or truth.

                  • Ritchie Annand

                    So you’re going to just play the victim card forever, then?

                    Things you could have done:

                    * Published all correspondence from both sides to clear the air.
                    * Ask someone to clarify the situation at the time.
                    * Pursued litigation within the maximum three years that you could have (yes, your time to do so is already up –
                    * Attempted it again any time from a year after your first rejection and kept better track of the process and conversation so you would have something with which to launch any sort of suit if you needed to.
                    * Done the Randi challenge with a less ‘luminous’ skeptic successfully so they would be goaded into accepting your challenge.

                    Too much work? Doesn’t play well into a persecution complex or beleaguered hero story? Because that’s exactly how it’s coming off.

                    • Ritchie Annand:
                      And you could ask Randi to shut me up by just producing something that says Perron wanted no photos taken. But you are fearful of Randi so you weasel around and attack, criticize, and childishly ridicule, rather than be a man and have Randi produce what doesn’t exist to shut me up. Not one of you Randibots like what I have to say but not one of you has the guts to produce anything that can shut me up. Cowards that talk the talk, but haven’t guts enough to walk the walk. You’re a disgusting bunch of sissies, that’s the following Randi has, sissies. Toadies, lackeys, bootlicks and sissies, I wish you all a Happy New Year !!!!

                    • Ritchie Annand

                      So your answer to the question, “So you’re going to just play the victim card forever, then?” is yes.

                      “Cowards that talk the talk, but haven’t guts enough to walk the walk.”

                      Given that you haven’t done anything to ameliorate the situation, I’d say that you’re in no position to complain about anyone not walking any walk.

                      I’m sorry that I thought it was at all about evidence instead of your own personal Groundhog Day.

                      *laugh* …and a Happy New Year to you, too 🙂

                    • This has never been about me being a victim it is about you being the victims of Randi. I know the truth and so does Randi, it is all of you who don’t, I don’t need to do this, contrary to the Ultimate Sadness label I am in reality a very happy successful man. 3 bedroom home in California paid in full, have traveled the world as a magician, respected member of Hollywood Magic Castle, even work occasionally in film and t.v. beautiful lady in my life, plenty of money in the bank, excellent health, good moral values, no worries, do have a few deadbeat relatives, but who doesn’t? I do this in a sincere desire to expose the truth about Randi, that was my goal from the start when Mark Edward who is on the board at Skeptik magazine challenged me years ago to take the Randi challenge to expose the disingenuousness of the Randi challenge. Mark and I have worked for years together at various events doing readings, palm, astrology, tarot, etc. I have never yet found one Randibot that really wants to know the truth, they say they do, but obviously none of you do. It would be a simple thing for Randi to post my request for no photos if it existed, but he can’t because it doesn’t, that is the truth. Randi lied but you victims don’t care, how are you any different than any other brainwashed devotee of any other false guru?

  • Tara Greene

    I was asked by the Toronto Star the Toronto Sun and City Tv for my psychic predictions for 2013. I was asked by Russian sites about the U.S. Elction and correctly predicted Obama’s re-election. I predicted Fukushima disaster to the month in 2011.
    My correct prediction sin 2013 include a baby boy Prince.Death of Chavez, the terrorist attacks in Mali.I predicted the Toronto Maple Leafs making it to the playoffs,and Justin Bieber’s bad scandal year. I would not expect any psychic to be more than 90% accurate. I take my work seriously. My 2014 predictions are on my website

  • cdonald

    Bill Perron–either get a lawyer stupid (or desperate enough) to file a nuisance lawsuit against James Randi, or get a psychiatrist to help you work thorough your issues. If you could do what you say, you would not waste your time posting long (and I do mean long) posts attacking James Randi (by the way, do your alleged abilities predict when YOU, Bill Perron, will receive a MacArthur genius grant? Mine do!) (see answer below):


    • cdonald:
      Thank you for proving how shallow and cowardly you are, you can’t refute my correct allegations about your phony guru Randi, so you do what all pseudo sceptics eventually do, you resort to name calling and sarcastic insults. Thank you for proving you are not nearly as smart as you think you are.Thank you for proving true my predictions above at this very site dated Dec. 26th.

      • cdonald

        So, not able to get a lawyer, I see–or a shrink. Also, if I read a stupid comment by you, and respond to it–you didn’t predict it. You, Perron, attack and insult everyone with a different view–but it does not change the fact that you have no magic powers, unless turning into a troll at will is a magic power.

        • cdonald

          Also, Perron, I’ve carefully followed your dispute with James Randi and determined that (1) Randi’s doing valuable public work and (2) your claims and accusations against him are not only meritless, but laughable. I will now use my psychic powers that are equal to yours to predict you will post more responses on this website consisting of incoherent wild, baseless accusations and insults against those who disagree with you.

          • cdonald:
            Once again you insist on making a fool of your hateful self, I never said any time or any place I have or ever had “powers” please do not put words in my mouth, it only makes you look ignorant and weak. If I have to kick a mans ass with truth I want that man to at least have some semblance of recognizable intelligence. So far you’ve displayed none, just the usual septic diatribe. If you have “carefully ” followed me then you know I have for over six years a standing offer of ten thousand dollars for anyone (including you or Randi) if I can not prove Randi lied to weasel out. So far no takers, if you want my ten grand just have Randi send you proof that I wanted no photos taken since that is the reason he used to weasel out. If you can not do that then please stop embarrassing yourself by your ignorant uninformed postings.

            • cdonald

              Actually, Perron, I have yet to see a post on this thread by you where you were not attacking and insulting someone else. Your very first post was an attack, while simultaneously promoting yourself. Can your magic astrology predict Randi’s date of death? No. My date of death? No. The date you will be proved right? No. The date you will become a happy, well-adjusted person? No. Please spend the ten grand you claim you have on someone who can help you–lawyer, doctor, masseuse, hooker–doesn’t matter. Also, thanks for making my prediction come true–I think I’ll become a professional psychic! My next prediction is that you will respond to this post with another insulting, barely coherent attack. That will be $10,000.00, please–which I predict you won’t pay, despite this clear evidence of my superior psychic prowess.

              • cdonald:
                Afraid to even ask Randi to post proof I wanted no photos taken, why? Why are you afraid of Randi? Why are you afraid of the truth? No diatribe, just answer, what are you afraid of? Why are you afraid?

  • Dlanod


    Your predictions are so full of qualifiers (e.g. may, some, somewhat, more, virtually) or are so vague about locations, dates, etc. that as predictions they are worthless. Some of them (e.g water shortage, religion, China, Greece) are just current news that will continue into 2014.

    You predicted the death of 6 famous people. Four of whom are 103, 98, 97 and 87 plus a fifth is fighting cancer. The death of any of these would not be particularly surprising.

    For the Winter Olympics you have Russia. US, Norway and China tied for top places. What does this even mean? Do they all end up with the same total medals or the same number of gold or silver or bronze medals? You state that Canada does better than ever, but in the 2010 Olympics they had the most Gold of any country and had the third highest total count of medals. If they are doing better than ever shouldn’t they be included in the group of four that you said would take the top places?

    Specificity is what makes predictions useful and able to be judged for accuracy. The lack of specificity in your predictions make them very poor and certainly do nothing to suggest that there is or you have psychic abilities.

  • Dlanod


    I thought I would take a look at your 2013 predictions to see how well you did.

    Asteroid DA14 did NOT hit any satellite.

    There were NO major destructive earthquake catastrophes in Turkey, Middle East, China, Guatemala, Indonesia, California.

    Volcanos in Indonesia, Russia and Ecuador all had activity, but these were all active sites and scientists have been predicting more activity in the near term. Mt. St. Helens did not “blow” again and Yellowstone Park is still intact.

    No tsunamis hit Japan in 2013 and the only notable tsunami hit the Solomon Islands with modest waves of 1 meter.

    Droughts, extreme cold and intense heat have all been predicted by science as well. No need for psychic powers. Wildfires have been a problem in the places you named for years.

    I will give you a qualified win for stating that it will be a record year for tornadoes in the US even though the implication was that it would be a record high. 2013 was a record LOW for the number of tornadoes. 2013 was also one of the least active hurricane seasons.

    There has NOT been a significant movement of people inland from coastal areas in the US.

    The US and World economies ARE recovering just not at as fast a pace as everyone would like. Scandals ALWAYS drag on in the US.

    Gun law legislation has been vitriolic for 30+ years. Civil unrest and anarchy is not noticably higher than it has been in recent years, perhaps even less so. According to the number of arrests specific to Occupy events is at 46. Not quite the hundreds predicted.

    NO massive protests in China and thousands NOT killed.

    Technically North and South Korea have been at war since 1950 and there is only an armistice in place. The assuption of your prediction is that active fighting will have resumed and it has NOT.

    I can find no data on the number of UFO sightings in 2013 versus other years, but there have not been any major news stories like there have been in the past.

    I could find NO archaeological discoveries of advanced civilizations pre-dating ours or in the Arctic or Antarctic areas.

    NO cure for MS or Parkinson’s Disease and science continues to find “alternate” methods of healing wanting for efficacy.

    Assisted suicide laws in the US and Canada have NOT changed.

    You predicted the death of 4 people (George H.W. Bush, Fidel Castro, Prince Phillip and Hugo Chavez). ONLY Hugo Chavez, who had been fighting an agressive cancer for two years, died in 2013.

    To my knowledge NO free energy resources have been discovered. Since you don’t define what free or energy resources might qualify it is hard to make a judgement as to what you mean.

    The House of Saud did NOT fall.

    Assad is NOT gone from Syria.

    Mali was NOT overtaken by Jihadists.

    In Entertainment you predicted a 19 year old pop star would do something outrageous (a SHOCKING prediction.), another pop star would not be as popular and Daniel-Day Lewis (the odds-on favorite) would win an Oscar. You were correct. Unfortunately for you Brangelina did not get married, nor did Johnny Depp. Shirley MacLean and Jack Nicholson made it through the year without any major health issues.

    The Blue Jays did NOT have a great year unless you call last place in their division great. The Leafs like over 50% of hockey teams DID make it into the playoffs. You have to be pretty bad to not make it.

    Recreational drug use is not any higher than it was last year.

    You DID get the gender of the Royal Baby correct, but you did have a 50/50 chance.

    Overall not a particularly impressive record.

  • cdonald

    Bill Perron is scared of James Randi–and of me, evidently, since he evidently blocked the reply key after he couldn’t answer my questions and asked me why I was scared of HIS self-perceived archenemy. Why is Bill Perron too scared to answer my questions? Why would he project his fear of James Randi and the JRF onto me? Why would any sane person accuse another of being afraid of a very old man unless he had a persecution complex that should get a medical write-up in a journal of abnormal psychology? Why is Perrron’s magician website so sad and creepy-looking? If you click on his name in his posts it’s a trip to the Website of Ultimate Sadness.

    • cdonald:
      Thanks for the laugh, you’re not such a bad guy after all, you made me laugh. Ultimate Sadness, now that is funny stuff. You didn’t answer my question, why are you afraid to ask Randi to post where I refused any picture taking? You can’t do it because you know he can’t post it because he lied to weasel out and we all know it You really shouldn’t get so upset because some guy who has Ultimate Sadness at his web site exposed your guru for being a phony. You should be rejoicing, as Jesus said, “The truth will set you free.” So what if your freedom was acquired by a guy with Ultimate Sadness, you’re still free no matter who exposed Randi as a liar, rejoice you are free.

    • Ritchie Annand

      No, the Reply link disappears after just a few indents in this comment section. It seems that you can only reply if you are getting the follow-up comments by email and click the reply from within there.

      Otherwise, yes 😉

  • Bill Perron

    Since it has been over a year since I have blest the world of ignorance with truth I have once again had the extreme pleasure of debunking the Randibots with wisdom, logic, and truth, I just want to thank you all for saying all the stupid things you did that gave me to opportunity to rant and rave and generously inflicting wounds that you all needed to be cured of your insidious Randibotism.